KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Maura Sullivan 84.3%+3.0ptEn tête parmi 3 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
82 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
91,6 k €
Liquidité
191,7 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
3.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 minutes
2 juil. 25, 14:00 UTC3 nov. 26, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
NH-02 Democratic Primary Winner
PolymarketNH-02 Democratic nominee?
KalshiWill Gavin Newsom be the favorite for Democratic Nominee on Dec. 31, 2026? [Per Polymarket Data]
Manifold MarketsIf James Talarico is the Democratic nominee, will he win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Manifold MarketsIf this person is the Democratic Nominee for Michigan Senate, will they win?
Manifold MarketsNH-01 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Maura Sullivan)
KalshiRègles
If the named outcome wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 NH-01 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Democratic Party of New Hampshire
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
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- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
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- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
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+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3 k €
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- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour NH-01 Democratic nominee? ?
- Kalshi cote Maura Sullivan à 84% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand NH-01 Democratic nominee? sera-t-il résolu ?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee? doit être résolu le 3 novembre 2026.
- Comment NH-01 Democratic nominee? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the named outcome wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 NH-01 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.