NH-01 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Maura Sullivan)
PolitiqueOne-OffUS PoliticsÉlection12mois
KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Maura Sullivan, ≥6% 50%En tête parmi 5 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
51 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
5,8 k €
Liquidité
4,5 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
7.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
7 sept. 26, 17:53 UTC8 sept. 27, 14:00 UTC
Tendances
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary margin of victory? (Chris Pappas)
KalshiNH-01 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Stefany Shaheen)
KalshiMA-08 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Stephen Lynch)
KalshiWill Maura Sullivan win the New Hampshire 1st District Democratic primary election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExNH-02 Democratic Primary Winner
PolymarketNew Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary: Margin of Victory
PolymarketRègles
If the margin of victory for Maura Sullivan in the 2026 NH-01 Democratic primary is at or above 3%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory is the vote share received by Maura Sullivan minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Maura Sullivan if Maura Sullivan wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Maura Sullivan loses.
- If Maura Sullivan wins, the margin will be positive; if Maura Sullivan loses, the margin will be negative; if Maura Sullivan ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
- If Maura Sullivan runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour NH-01 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Maura Sullivan) ?
- Kalshi cote Maura Sullivan, ≥6% à 50% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand NH-01 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Maura Sullivan) sera-t-il résolu ?
- NH-01 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Maura Sullivan) doit être résolu le 8 septembre 2027.
- Comment NH-01 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Maura Sullivan) est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the margin of victory for Maura Sullivan in the 2026 NH-01 Democratic primary is at or above 3%, then the market resolves to Yes.