New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary margin of victory? (Chris Pappas)
7.0 pts (24h)PolitiqueOne-OffUS PoliticsÉlection12mois
KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Chris Pappas, ≥5% 97%En tête parmi 9 options
Qualité du marché
64 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
3,9 k €
Liquidité
11,2 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
2.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
27 août 26, 19:25 UTC8 sept. 27, 14:00 UTC
Tendances
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
NH-01 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Stefany Shaheen)
KalshiNH-01 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Maura Sullivan)
KalshiMA-08 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Stephen Lynch)
KalshiWill Chris Pappas win the 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Primary for Senate?
Manifold MarketsWill Chris Pappas win the New Hampshire general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExDelaware Democratic Senate Primary Winner
PolymarketRègles
If the margin of victory for Chris Pappas in the 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary is at or above 5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory is the vote share received by Chris Pappas minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Chris Pappas if Chris Pappas wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Chris Pappas loses.
- If Chris Pappas wins, the margin will be positive; if Chris Pappas loses, the margin will be negative; if Chris Pappas ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
- If Chris Pappas runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary margin of victory? (Chris Pappas) ?
- Kalshi cote Chris Pappas, ≥5% à 97% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary margin of victory? (Chris Pappas) sera-t-il résolu ?
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary margin of victory? (Chris Pappas) doit être résolu le 8 septembre 2027.
- Comment New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary margin of victory? (Chris Pappas) est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the margin of victory for Chris Pappas in the 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary is at or above 5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Où New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary margin of victory? (Chris Pappas) est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Polymarket.