PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 99%+0.5pt
Qualité du marché
86 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
54 k €
Liquidité
66,9 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
1.2% / 1.3%
Écart
0.1 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
2 sept. 26, 21:121 oct. 26, 3:59
Tendances
Règles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- Only permanent removal from office will qualify.
- Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
- A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Marchés ouverts
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- JD Vance-1.6pt24%
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- Marine Le Pen-0.5pt36.8%
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- Jon Ossoff16.8%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.8%
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Trump out as President by September 30? ?
- Polymarket cote No à 99% au 4 septembre 2026.
- Quand Trump out as President by September 30? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Trump out as President by September 30? doit être résolu le 1 octobre 2026.
- Comment Trump out as President by September 30? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.