LimitlessVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 96.2%
Non 96.2%Qualité du marché
34 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
186,2 €
Liquidité
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Liquidité inconnueDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 minute
20 janv. 26, 18:17 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)
KalshiNicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026?
PolymarketGianni Infantino out as President of FIFA in 2026
KalshiClaudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by which date?
PolymarketJoseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?
PolymarketWill Lula finish his term as President of Brazil?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify.
- Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
2 plateformes cotent actuellement ce marché. La probabilité de référence inter-plateformes de CoinRithm pour Référence CoinRithm est de 4%.
Référence CoinRithm 4% · 2 plateformes · 0 pt d’ecart entre venues