Probabilité implicite actuelle
Non 82.2%-1.0pt
Qualite du marche
77 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
918,6 €
Liquidité
88,9 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
17.0% / 18.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread serréComments
0
Variation 7j
-1.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
5 nov. 25, 19:3531 déc. 26, 0:00
Tendances
Règles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
