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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Politique
  3. Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

One-OffPolitiqueEurope6mo
PolymarketPolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Oui
Oui 22%
Qualite du marche

72 / 100

Qualité moyenne
Volume 24h

112 €

Liquidité

28,8 k €

Liquidité élevée
Achat / Vente

21.0% / 22.0%

Spread

4.8%

Spread modéré
Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes

5 nov. 25, 19:4031 déc. 26, 0:00

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

Yes22%

Règles

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
  • The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

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Actifs dans ces sujets

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Règles

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
  • The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.