KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Eduardo Paes 92.4%En tête parmi 4 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
48 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
1,7 k €
Faible liquiditéÉcart
4.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
25 avr. 26, 14:004 oct. 27, 14:00
Tendances
0%
Règles
If the named outcome wins the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE)
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
- For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
4 plateformes cotent actuellement ce marché. La probabilité de référence pondérée par la liquidité de CoinRithm pour Eduardo Paes est de 92%. Les cotations s'écartent d'environ 24 points de pourcentage entre les plateformes extrêmes.
Référence CoinRithm Eduardo Paes 92% · 4 plateformes · 24 pt d’ecart entre venues
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Rio de Janeiro Governor winner? ?
- Kalshi cote Eduardo Paes à 92% au 4 septembre 2026.
- Quand Rio de Janeiro Governor winner? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Rio de Janeiro Governor winner? doit être résolu le 4 octobre 2027.
- Comment Rio de Janeiro Governor winner? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the named outcome wins the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Où Rio de Janeiro Governor winner? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Polymarket, Limitless, Futuur.