Probabilité implicite actuelle
Eduardo Paes 89%En tête parmi 4 options
Qualite du marche
40 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidité
1,6 k €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
89.0% / 94.0%
Spread
5.6%
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 minutes
25 avr. 26, 14:004 oct. 27, 14:00
Tendances
0%
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Eduardo Paes89%
Comparer les plateformes· Eduardo Paes
Trié par volume 24 h
Également disponible sur Polymarket
Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner
0.3%2mo
-0.3%94%
50%
50%
+20 résultats de plus
91 • Haute qualitéSpread serréLiquidité élevéeProche de la résolution
Volume total209,5 k €
Volume 24h512,7 €
POLYMARKET
Également disponible sur Futuur
Elected Governor of Rio de Janeiro in 2026
2mo
92%
13%
4%
+3 résultats de plus
40 • Faible qualitéSpread inconnuFaible liquiditéProche de la résolution
Volume total280,9 €
Volume 24h280,9 €
FUTUURRègles
If Eduardo Paes wins the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
- For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Tendance du volume
$25 juil.4j de données8 juil.
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If Eduardo Paes wins the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
- For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.