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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Politique
  3. Peru presidential election runoff margin of victory?
Peru presidential election runoff margin of victory?

Peru presidential election runoff margin of victory?

3.0% (24h)One-OffPolitiqueÉlectionLatin America12mo
KalshiKalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Roberto Sánchez, 0-3%
Roberto Sánchez, 0-3% 3%-3.0%
En tête parmi 10 options
Qualite du marche

28 / 100

Faible qualité
Volume 24h

32,3 €

Liquidité

376 €

Faible liquidité
Achat / Vente

2.0% / 3.0%

Spread

50.0%

Spread large
Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes

21 mai 26, 21:007 juin 27, 14:00

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

Roberto Sánchez, 0-3%3%

Règles

If the margin of victory for Keiko Fujimori in the 2026 Peru presidential election runoff falls within 12% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Keiko Fujimori minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Keiko Fujimori if Keiko Fujimori wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Keiko Fujimori loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Keiko Fujimori minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Keiko Fujimori if Keiko Fujimori wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Keiko Fujimori loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Keiko Fujimori minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Keiko Fujimori wins, or the electoral votes received by Keiko Fujimori minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Keiko Fujimori does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.

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Who will de facto lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?

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Delcy Rodríguez: 90%KalshiKALSHI
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When will Venezuela hold a presidential election?

0 €
Before Jan 1, 2027: 18%KalshiKALSHI

Actifs dans ces sujets

BitcoinBTC$62,619.31+2.19%EthereumETH$1,649.78+1.51%SolanaSOL$65.08+1.52%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.62%XRPXRP$1.12+0.32%BNBBNB$595.08+1.65%

Actualités Associées

Russia election odds hold with United Russia leading at ~54.5%Blockchain.NewsPeru 2nd Round Bet Focus Narrows to Fujimori Narrow VictoryBlockchain.NewsBurnham Favored in Makerfield By-Election as Markets React to Rising OddsBlockchain.NewsCrypto PACs Shape Bets on Peru’s 2026 RaceBlockchain.NewsBinance Joins ABcripto to Boost Brazil's Crypto MarketBlockchain.NewsNew Defend Developers PAC targets key races with DeFi on the lineCrypto News

Règles

If the margin of victory for Keiko Fujimori in the 2026 Peru presidential election runoff falls within 12% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Keiko Fujimori minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Keiko Fujimori if Keiko Fujimori wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Keiko Fujimori loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Keiko Fujimori minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Keiko Fujimori if Keiko Fujimori wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Keiko Fujimori loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Keiko Fujimori minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Keiko Fujimori wins, or the electoral votes received by Keiko Fujimori minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Keiko Fujimori does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.