Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
2.0 pts (24h)One-OffPolitiqueÉlectionLatin America1a
KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Lula da Silva, 0-5% 37.1%+2.0ptEn tête parmi 11 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
60 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
655,2 €
Liquidité
12,9 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
5.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
23 avr. 26, 04:00 UTC4 oct. 27, 14:00 UTC
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Brazil presidential election: first round winner?
KalshiBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
KalshiBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
KalshiBrazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
LimitlessBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
PolymarketBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
PolymarketRègles
If the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election falls within 0% to 5%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE)
- The margin of victory is the vote share received by Lula da Silva minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Lula da Silva if Lula da Silva wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Lula da Silva loses.
- If Lula da Silva wins, the margin will be positive; if Lula da Silva loses, the margin will be negative; if Lula da Silva ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
- If Lula da Silva runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory ?
- Kalshi cote Lula da Silva, 0-5% à 37% au 12 septembre 2026.
- Quand Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory sera-t-il résolu ?
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory doit être résolu le 4 octobre 2027.
- Comment Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election falls within 0% to 5%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Où Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Polymarket, Limitless.