Manifold MarketsSans KYCPrévision communautaire actuelleLula Da Silva 56.9%+1.7%En tête parmi 8 options
Prévisionnistes
26
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 jours
Obsolète23 févr. 26, 2:5225 oct. 26, 23:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Lula Da Silva57%
Également disponible sur Kalshi
Brazil Presidential election winner?
2.0%1a
-2.0%62%
+3.0%27%
-0.3%9%
+10 résultats de plus
89 • Haute qualitéSpread modéréLiquidité élevéeAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total2 M €
Volume 24h4,9 k €
KALSHIÉgalement disponible sur Manifold Markets
Brazil Presidential Election Winner
3mo
58%
+0.1%25%
1%
+4 résultats de plus
Prévision communautaire18 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice
Volume total12,8 k €
Volume 24h433 €
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Également disponible sur Polymarket
Brazil Presidential Election
3mo
61%
+0.7%23%
+0.1%10%
+29 résultats de plus
73 • Qualité moyenneSpread largeLiquidité élevéeAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total96,2 M €
Volume 24h347,1 k €
POLYMARKETRègles
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
- If date changes, resolves based on next presidential election.
- This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
- This market includes any potential second round.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Marchés Associés
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
199,8 k €Nicolás Maduro: 81%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won
10,1 k €PL: 88%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory? (0.1% brackets)
5,9 k €Fujimori 0.2–0.3%: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETWill Brazilian ineligibility laws be revised to allow Bolsonaro to run for office in 2026?
218,6 €Oui: 3.9%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSArgentina Presidential Election Winner (Polymarket)
209,4 €Javier Milei: 50%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
When will Venezuela hold a presidential election?
189,8 €Before Jan 1, 2027: 17%KALSHI
KALSHIActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
Colorado socialist upset lifts Polymarket: Lula at 57.5% for Brazil 2026Blockchain.News
Ripple, Coinbase among top donors in crypto’s $189 million election spending: reportThe Block
Democrats ramp up election-integrity push as Polymarket keeps Bardella at 25.5%Blockchain.News
Colorado Dem upset jolts 2028 chatter as Polymarket puts Newsom at 20.5%Blockchain.News
Colorado primary surprise as Polymarket keeps Maduro favored at 80%Blockchain.News
Ripple-backed PACs fuel record $189M crypto election spendingCrypto NewsRègles
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
- If date changes, resolves based on next presidential election.
- This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
- This market includes any potential second round.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).