Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleFlavio Bolsonaro 89%+3.3ptEn tête parmi 8 options
Prévisionnistes
76
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+32.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 minutes
23 févr. 26, 02:52 UTC25 oct. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
PolymarketBrazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place Abroad
PolymarketBrazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Federal District
PolymarketBrazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amapá
PolymarketBrazil presidential runoff: voter turnout
KalshiBrazil presidential runoff: will Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro debate?
KalshiRègles
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
- If date changes, resolves based on next presidential election.
- This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
- This market includes any potential second round.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Comparaison des sources de prévision
- Également disponible sur Kalshi — Brazil Presidential election winner? · Flávio Bolsonaro 86%
