KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
At least 119,000,000 99%En tête parmi 6 options
At least 119,000,000 99%Qualité du marché
57 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
6,9 k €
Intérêt ouvert
6,9 k €
Intérêt ouvert moyenÉcart
5.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
5 oct. 26, 21:00 UTC25 oct. 26, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiBrazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
PolymarketRègles
If at least 125,000,000 votes, including blank and null votes, are cast in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Tribunal Superior Eleitoral
- The count is the total of voters who voted (comparecimento) in the presidential contest of the second round (runoff) of Brazil’s 2026 general election, as reported by the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE), including those who cast blank or null votes. Registered voters, abstentions, justified absences and ballots in other contests do not count. Subject to the contract’s Fully-Conducted Elections and Accelerated Resolution Upon Designated Media Source Declarations provisions, the vote count refers to the officially certified results from the relevant election authority. Provisional, absentee, early, mail-in, or electronic ballots are included only if reflected in the official certification. The contract resolves based on officially certified results regardless of ongoing appeals. Outside those two contract provisions, preliminary counts, exit polls, projections, or uncertified results do not qualify.
Règles de chaque résultat
- At least 119,000,000
- If at least 119,000,000 votes, including blank and null votes, are cast in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 121,000,000
- If at least 121,000,000 votes, including blank and null votes, are cast in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 123,000,000
- If at least 123,000,000 votes, including blank and null votes, are cast in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 125,000,000
- If at least 125,000,000 votes, including blank and null votes, are cast in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 127,000,000
- If at least 127,000,000 votes, including blank and null votes, are cast in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 129,000,000
- If at least 129,000,000 votes, including blank and null votes, are cast in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.