PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Guilherme Derrite 52%+13.0ptEn tête parmi 41 options
Qualite du marche
74 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
5,5 k €
Liquidité
107,3 k €
Liquidité élevéeSpread
1.0 pt
Spread serréComments
0
Variation 7j
+25.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 minutes
17 août 26, 10:124 oct. 26, 6:00
Tendances
Règles
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
- Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won.
- If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market.
- This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
- If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
Marchés ouverts
Politics
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt18.4%
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt16.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.6%
+44 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 165,1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,9 M €
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+6.0pt81.2%
- Yes-6.0pt18.8%
- Volume total
- 8,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,7 M €
KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?
- Darline Graham-7.0pt56.9%
- Ralph Norman+7.0pt34.9%
- Pamela Evette0.9%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 13,5 M €
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.6pt32%
- Édouard Philippe25%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon+1.0pt14%
+125 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.3pt69%
- October 31-1.0pt47%
- September 30-3.0pt28%
+17 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt85.2%
- Republican Party14.8%
- Volume total
- 21,1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 533,7 k €
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Brazil Presidential Election
- South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff margin of victory?
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Will the SAVE Act become law?
- Ohio Governor winner?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Texas Senate winner?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour São Paulo Senate Election: 1st Place ?
- Polymarket cote Guilherme Derrite à 52% au 25 août 2026.
- Quand São Paulo Senate Election: 1st Place sera-t-il résolu ?
- São Paulo Senate Election: 1st Place doit être résolu le 4 octobre 2026.
- Comment São Paulo Senate Election: 1st Place est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.