Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035?
WeatherOne-OffScience9a
KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 66%
Qualité du marché
68 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
397,1 €
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12,3 k €
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32.0% / 34.0%
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2.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 minutes
21 juin 25, 17:00 UTC31 déc. 35, 04:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRègles
If there is at least an earthquake of 8.0 magnitude with an epicenter in California or its territorial waters before Dec 31, 2035, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:USGS
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035? ?
- Kalshi cote No à 66% au 22 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2035.
- Comment Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If there is at least an earthquake of 8.0 magnitude with an epicenter in California or its territorial waters before Dec 31, 2035, then the market resolves to Yes.