KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 62%
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
12,1 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
37.0% / 38.0%
Écart
1.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
24 mai 25, 14:00 UTC1 janv. 30, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
KalshiWill there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035?
KalshiWill there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2028?
KalshiMagnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?
PolymarketWhat will be the highest magnitude of an earthquake near the Phlegraean Fields in italy (Campi Flegrei) in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhere will the largest magnitude Earthquake be in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If there is at least an earthquake of 8.0 magnitude with an epicenter in Japan or its territorial waters before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:USGS
Marchés ouverts
WeatherKALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 22, 2026?
- Newark+59.0pt99%
- Oklahoma City+95.0pt99%
- Philadelphia+11.0pt99%
+24 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 180,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 176,4 k €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 22, 2026?
- 77° to 78°56.7%
- 75° to 76°20.2%
- 79° to 80°19.2%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 52,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 50,9 k €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Wellington on September 23?
- 10°C+24.0pt38.8%
- 11°C-20.5pt36.7%
- 9°C+14.5pt17.4%
+8 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETMeasles cases in U.S. in 2026?
+12 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 34,8 k €
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 22, 2026?
- 65° to 66°45.5%
- 63° to 64°22.3%
- 67° to 68°21.4%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 35,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- 32,7 k €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 23?
- 29°C+10.5pt49%
- 28°C-7.0pt41.4%
- 27°C-1.0pt5.8%
+8 résultats de plus
- Highest temperature in London on September 23?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 22, 2026?
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- What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year?
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 23?
- Highest temperature in Paris on September 23?
- Highest temperature in Helsinki on September 23?
- Highest temperature in Atlanta on Sep 22, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 23?
- Highest temperature in Munich on September 23?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour 8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030? ?
- Kalshi cote No à 62% au 22 septembre 2026.
- Quand 8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030? sera-t-il résolu ?
- 8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2030.
- Comment 8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If there is at least an earthquake of 8.0 magnitude with an epicenter in Japan or its territorial waters before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.