Will cyberattacks cause a major societal disruption before 2027-07?
FedOne-OffActionsGéopolitiqueBanques centralesSociété et cultureTechCriminalité et justice8moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 51%
Prévisionnistes
13
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
24 oct. 26, 12:52 UTC30 juin 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketRègles
This market resolves YES if cyberattacks starting before July 1, 2027 cause any of the following:
- A massive outage.
- Reuters, AP, BBC, Bloomberg, or the Financial Times report that the attacks cut off a combined total of at least 100 million people from the internet or from widely used online services for 72 hours or more.
- A national emergency.
- The government of a G7 country (Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the UK, or the US) declares a national emergency in response to disruption caused by the attacks.
- Standing declarations that just authorize sanctions or other general measures against cyber threats don’t count.
