PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
25-29 42.2%-10.0ptEn tête parmi 5 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
25-29 42.2%-10.0ptQualité du marché
79 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
5,1 k €
Liquidité
67,5 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
1.0 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
1 oct. 26, 00:02 UTC1 nov. 26, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Polymarket
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Ordre minimum (parts):
- 5
- Pas de cotation:
- 1 points de pourcentage
- Frais:
- Non
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of October 5?
PolymarketAvg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of October?
PolymarketWill the 7-day moving average of ships passing the Bab el-Mandeb Strait ever fall below 15 in 2026?
Manifold MarketsBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
PolymarketTraffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/28 - 10/4)
KalshiTraffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/5 - 10/11)
KalshiRègles
This market will resolve according to the 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait that IMF Portwatch reports for October 31, 2026.
- Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data has been published.
- If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point.
- In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections.