PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
September 30 72.5%+2.5ptAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
69 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
22,6 k €
Liquidité
29,1 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
32.0% / 33.0%
Écart
1.0 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 minutes
11 sept. 26, 23:26 UTC1 oct. 26, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Massachusetts East-West rail be under construction before 2027?
Manifold MarketsBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
PolymarketIran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
PolymarketWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
PolymarketWhen will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
KalshiTraffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/7 - 9/13)
KalshiRègles
On September 11, 2026, Saudi Arabia's Ministry of Energy announced that the East-West oil pipeline has been shut down.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Saudi Arabia announces that the East-West oil pipeline is operational or no longer shut down between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A qualifying announcement must express that the pipeline is presently operating; operation at partial or reduced capacity qualifies.
- Announcements that attribute such a claim to third parties, state that the pipeline will or may operate in the future, describe work underway to restore operation, or frame resumption as expected, planned, or conditional, will not qualify.
- Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent contradictory statements, or alternative information from other sources.
Marchés ouverts
Middle EastPOLYMARKETBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- December 31-3.5pt22%
- October 31-3.0pt17%
- September 30-3.5pt5%
+9 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 11,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 539,3 k €
POLYMARKETIran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- October 31+3.5pt57%
- September 30+2.0pt42%
- September 21+5.0pt36%
+6 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt83.2%
- Yes+1.0pt16.8%
- Volume total
- 56,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 197,5 k €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+1.3pt66%
- October 31-0.5pt37%
- September 30+1.0pt22%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+4.5pt93%
- September 18+5.0pt91%
- September 4+7.0pt88%
+2 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30-0.7pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 résultats de plus
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/7 - 9/13)
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by which date? ?
- Polymarket cote September 30 à 73% au 13 septembre 2026.
- Quand Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by which date? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by which date? doit être résolu le 1 octobre 2026.
- Comment Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by which date? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : On September 11, 2026, Saudi Arabia's Ministry of Energy announced that the East-West oil pipeline has been shut down.