US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
9.0 pts (24h)GéopolitiqueOne-OffMiddle East26j
PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
September 30 72%+4.5ptEn tête parmi 5 options
Qualité du marché
≤74 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
52,7 k €
Liquidité
106 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
2.0 pt
Spread modéréCommentaires
9
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
2 sept. 26, 0:2430 sept. 26, 23:59
Tendances
Règles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a continuous 14-day period during which the United States does not take a qualifying military action against Iran that begins at any time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
- The first day of the 14-day period will be the calendar date (ET) after the most recent qualifying military action (or the date of market creation, if no qualifying action has occurred).
- The period runs through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day.
- This market resolves to “Yes” if any such period is completed where the most recent qualifying military action occurred on or before the specified end date (ET).
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by the United States, that directly impacts Iran.