PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisProbabilité implicite actuelleOui 3%+0.0%
Qualite du marche
73 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
61,5 k €
Liquidité
194,1 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
3.0% / 3.3%
Spread
10.0%
Spread largeVariation 7j
+0.1%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
29 juin 26, 23:5330 sept. 26, 0:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Yes3%
Comparer les plateformes· No
Trié par volume 24 h| Plateforme | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketCette pageLa plus active | 97% | +94pt | 61,5 k € | 194,1 k € | il y a 5 minutes | |
 Myriad | 94% | +91pt | 9,1 € | 1,3 k € | il y a 17 minutes | Ouvrir → |
Également disponible sur Myriad
Will the Iranian Regime fall before October?
0.0%2mo
6%
94%
32 • Faible qualitéSpread inconnuFaible liquiditéMarché peu profond
Volume total35,3 k €
Volume 24h9,1 €
MYRIADRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran’s current ruling regime is overthrown, collapsed, or otherwise ceases to govern by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This requires a broad consensus of reporting indicating that core structures of the Islamic Republic (e.g. the office of the Supreme Leader, the Guardian Council, IRGC control under clerical authority) have been dissolved, incapacitated, or replaced by a fundamentally different governing system or otherwise lost de facto power over a majority of the population of Iran.
- This could occur via revolution, civil war, military coup, or voluntary abdication, but only qualifies if the Islamic Republic no longer exercises sovereign power.
- Routine political events such as elections, reforms, or leadership succession do not qualify.
- Internal coups or power shifts that preserve the Islamic Republic’s core structures also do not qualify.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Grosses transactions
$4.9k97.4%NoScrimpy-5 j
Tendance du volume
$70.2k2 juil.7j de données8 juil.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran’s current ruling regime is overthrown, collapsed, or otherwise ceases to govern by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This requires a broad consensus of reporting indicating that core structures of the Islamic Republic (e.g. the office of the Supreme Leader, the Guardian Council, IRGC control under clerical authority) have been dissolved, incapacitated, or replaced by a fundamentally different governing system or otherwise lost de facto power over a majority of the population of Iran.
- This could occur via revolution, civil war, military coup, or voluntary abdication, but only qualifies if the Islamic Republic no longer exercises sovereign power.
- Routine political events such as elections, reforms, or leadership succession do not qualify.
- Internal coups or power shifts that preserve the Islamic Republic’s core structures also do not qualify.