KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Above 10 99%En tête parmi 11 options
Qualité du marché
56 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
1,3 k €
Liquidité
2,3 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
3.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 minutes
4 sept. 26, 16:30 UTC15 sept. 26, 13:00 UTC
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/7 - 9/13)
KalshiOn September 27th 2026, what will the 7-day average ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz be?
Manifold MarketsStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of September? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsRègles
If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is the named outcome from Sep 7, 2026 to Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:IMF PortWatch
- The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Sep 7, 2026 to Sep 13, 2026.
- The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
Marchés ouverts
Middle EastPOLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30+18.3pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 25,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 719,6 k €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.6pt47.5%
- October 31-1.0pt28.7%
- September 30-2.0pt13.1%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+3.4pt55.7%
- Benjamin Netanyahu-3.0pt27.8%
- Naftali Bennett8.3%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+3.0pt80%
- September 18+2.0pt75%
- September 11+12.0pt71%
+2 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- No+0.3pt98%
- Yes-0.3pt2%
- Volume total
- 6,9 M €
- Volume 24h
- 97,8 k €
KALSHIWhen will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Before Jan 1, 2029-2.0pt69%
- Before Jul 1, 2028-1.0pt67%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-1.0pt64%
+11 résultats de plus
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Netanyahu out by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/7 - 9/13) ?
- Kalshi cote Above 10 à 99% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/7 - 9/13) sera-t-il résolu ?
- Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/7 - 9/13) doit être résolu le 15 septembre 2026.
- Comment Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/7 - 9/13) est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is the named outcome from Sep 7, 2026 to Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.