On September 27th 2026, what will the 7-day average ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz be?
Middle EastOne-Off19jManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuellex ≥ 5 71.1%En tête parmi 7 options
Prévisionnistes
5
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+1.9 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
30 août 26, 13:02 UTC27 sept. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/7 - 9/13)
KalshiPeak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/7 - 9/13)
KalshiHow many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 7?
PolymarketAvg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of September?
PolymarketWill __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30?
PolymarketWill the 7-day moving average of ships passing the Bab el-Mandeb Strait ever fall below 15 in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
On August 30th 2026, what will the 7-day average ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz be?
- Resolution Criteria
- Let x be the 7-day average ships passing on through the Strait of Hormuz on September 27th 2026.
- Using IMF PortWatch as the official source, each market above will resolve to YES if the inequality is true and will resolve to NO otherwise.
- If the data are not available by end of day October 28th, I will resolve each market to NA.
Marchés ouverts
Middle EastPOLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30+18.3pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 25,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 719,6 k €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.6pt47.5%
- October 31-1.0pt28.7%
- September 30-2.0pt13.1%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+3.4pt55.7%
- Benjamin Netanyahu-3.0pt27.8%
- Naftali Bennett8.3%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+3.0pt80%
- September 18+2.0pt75%
- September 11+12.0pt71%
+2 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- No+0.3pt98%
- Yes-0.3pt2%
- Volume total
- 6,9 M €
- Volume 24h
- 97,8 k €
KALSHIWhen will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Before Jan 1, 2029-2.0pt69%
- Before Jul 1, 2028-1.0pt67%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-1.0pt64%
+11 résultats de plus
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Netanyahu out by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour On September 27th 2026, what will the 7-day average ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz be? ?
- Manifold Markets cote x ≥ 5 à 71% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand On September 27th 2026, what will the 7-day average ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz be? sera-t-il résolu ?
- On September 27th 2026, what will the 7-day average ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz be? doit être résolu le 27 septembre 2026.
- Comment On September 27th 2026, what will the 7-day average ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz be? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : On August 30th 2026, what will the 7-day average ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz be?