PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
September 15 51.4%Ajusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
29 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
369,2 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
11.0% / 99.0%
Écart
88.0 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
8 sept. 26, 18:49 UTC30 sept. 26, 20:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Iran target Jordan by which date?
PolymarketWill Iran target an Arab country by which date?
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PolymarketWill Israel attack Iraq in October 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Israel attack Iraq in November 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Israel attack Iraq in September 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets Iraq through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Arabia Standard Time (AST).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Iran, directed at Iraq.
- An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
- A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
- The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Iran target Iraq by which date? ?
- Polymarket cote September 15 à 51% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Iran target Iraq by which date? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Iran target Iraq by which date? doit être résolu le 30 septembre 2026.
- Comment Will Iran target Iraq by which date? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets Iraq through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Arabia Standard Time (AST).