PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
September 30 2%+0.1ptEn tête parmi 3 options
Qualité du marché
58 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
7,1 €
Liquidité
16,4 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
0.9 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
-0.7 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
18 août 26, 22:50 UTC30 sept. 26, 20:59 UTC
Tendances
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Iran target Ukraine by which date?
PolymarketWill Iran target an Arab country by which date?
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PolymarketWill a significant number of Palestinians from Gaza be permanently resettled in Egypt and/or Jordan under Trump's term?
Manifold MarketsSisi still President of Egypt through the end of 2029?
FutuurSisi still President of Egypt through the end of 2026?
FutuurRègles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets Egypt through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Cairo time.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Iran, directed at Egypt.
- An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
- A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
- The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Iran target Egypt by which date? ?
- Polymarket cote September 30 à 2% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Iran target Egypt by which date? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Iran target Egypt by which date? doit être résolu le 30 septembre 2026.
- Comment Will Iran target Egypt by which date? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets Egypt through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Cairo time.