PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
September 15 22%+11.0ptEn tête parmi 3 options
Qualité du marché
37 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
1,3 k €
Liquidité
1,8 k €
Faible liquiditéÉcart
16.0 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
-10.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
18 août 26, 22:48 UTC30 sept. 26, 20:59 UTC
Tendances
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Kalshi[ACX 2026] Will Saudi Arabia and Israel agree to normalise diplomatic relations during 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets Saudi Arabia through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Arabia Standard Time (AST).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Iran, directed at Saudi Arabia.
- An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
- A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
- The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by which date? ?
- Polymarket cote September 15 à 22% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by which date? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by which date? doit être résolu le 30 septembre 2026.
- Comment Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by which date? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets Saudi Arabia through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Arabia Standard Time (AST).