PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
170-189 40.2%+26.5ptEn tête parmi 5 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
170-189 40.2%+26.5ptQualité du marché
63 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
1,3 k €
Liquidité
40,4 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
1.0 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
1 oct. 26, 00:06 UTC12 oct. 26, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Polymarket
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Ordre minimum (parts):
- 5
- Pas de cotation:
- 1 points de pourcentage
- Frais:
- Non
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by which date?
PolymarketAvg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of October?
PolymarketWill the 7-day moving average of ships passing the Bab el-Mandeb Strait ever fall below 15 in 2026?
Manifold MarketsBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
PolymarketTraffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/28 - 10/4)
KalshiTraffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/5 - 10/11)
KalshiRègles
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait for all days from October 5, 2026, through October 11, 2026, inclusive.
- Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as all relevant data has been published.
- If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point.
- In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections.