Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/28 - 10/4)
4.0 pts (24h)One-OffPolitique commercialeGéopolitique5j
KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Above 150 94%+4.0ptEn tête parmi 5 options
Above 150 94%+4.0ptQualité du marché
67 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
6,7 k €
Intérêt ouvert
9,5 k €
Intérêt ouvert moyenÉcart
1.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 minutes
25 sept. 26, 16:30 UTC6 oct. 26, 13:00 UTC
Tendances
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
PolymarketHow many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of September 28?
PolymarketAvg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of September?
PolymarketBab el-Mandeb Strait closed by which date?
FutuurWill the 7-day moving average of ships passing the Bab el-Mandeb Strait ever fall below 15 in 2026?
Manifold MarketsBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
LimitlessRègles
If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 175 from Sep 28, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:IMF PortWatch
- The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Sep 28, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Above 150
- If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 150 from Sep 28, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 175
- If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 175 from Sep 28, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 200
- If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 200 from Sep 28, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 225
- If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 225 from Sep 28, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 250
- If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 250 from Sep 28, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.