PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
<25 47%-0.5ptEn tête parmi 5 options
Qualité du marché
77 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
665,4 €
Liquidité
49,5 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
0.1 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
-18.2 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
26 août 26, 22:15 UTC30 sept. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of September 7?
PolymarketAvg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of September?
PolymarketTraffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/7 - 9/13)
KalshiBab el-Mandeb Strait closed by which date?
FutuurWill the 7-day moving average of ships passing the Bab el-Mandeb Strait ever fall below 15 in 2026?
Manifold MarketsBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
PolymarketRègles
This market will resolve according to the 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait that IMF Portwatch reports for September 30, 2026.
- Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data has been published.
- If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point.
- In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections.