PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
170-189 41.2%-1.5ptEn tête parmi 5 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
61 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
79,2 €
Liquidité
13,6 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
3.0 pt
Spread modéréCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
3 sept. 26, 14:26 UTC13 sept. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of September?
PolymarketTraffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/7 - 9/13)
Kalshi0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by which date?
PolymarketHow many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 7?
PolymarketWill the 7-day moving average of ships passing the Bab el-Mandeb Strait ever fall below 15 in 2026?
Manifold MarketsBab el-Mandeb Strait closed by which date?
FutuurRègles
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait for all days from September 7, 2026, through September 13, 2026, inclusive.
- Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as all relevant data has been published.
- If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point.
- In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections.