PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleJuly 31 5%-4.3%En tête parmi 4 options
Qualite du marche
61 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
9,8 k €
Liquidité
21,6 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
4.9% / 5.5%
Spread
12.2%
Spread largeVariation 7j
-11.7%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 20 minutes
26 juin 26, 18:4431 juil. 26, 23:59
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
July 315%
Grosses transactions
$2.0k77.2%POLYMARKET0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31? — Noyenky-5 j
POLYMARKET0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31? — Noyenky-5 jTendance du volume
$11.1k2 juil.25j de données26 juil.
Marchés Associés
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
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Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
519,8 k €Oui: 16%POLYMARKET
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When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
244,7 k €Before Sep 1, 2026: 11%
KALSHI
KALSHI
What will Benjamin Netanyahu say during Sunday Morning Futures?
103,3 k €Event does not qualify: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/20 - 7/26)
35,8 k €Above 60: 7%KALSHI
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF PortWatch publishes a daily number of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to 0 for any date between June 26 and the specified date, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No."
- Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF PortWatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as IMF PortWatch publishes a daily number of transit calls equal to 0, or once complete data has been published for the specified period without such a publication.
- If complete data for the specified period has not been published within 28 calendar days of the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.