Will 100 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day in 2026?
One-OffMoyen-OrientGéopolitiqueMatières premières2moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 98%
Prévisionnistes
30
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard5 mai 26, 18:06 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will 200 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill 120 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill 110 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day while Trump is President?
Manifold MarketsAvg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of October?
PolymarketAvg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of October?
PolymarketHow many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of October 26?
PolymarketRègles
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
- Update 2026-05-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will only consider days after market creation (not any day in 2026 including before creation).
