KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesMilieu du carnet sélectionné
At least 4,800,000 · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
At least 4,800,000 98.5%En tête parmi 12 options
At least 4,800,000 98.5%Qualité du marché
37 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
177,9 €
Intérêt ouvert
6,3 k $US
Intérêt ouvert moyenAchat / Vente
— / —
At least 4,800,000Écart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
5 oct. 26, 21:00 UTC27 oct. 26, 03:59 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · At least 4,800,000
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Benjamin Netanyahu run for the Israeli Knesset next election?
Manifold MarketsAt least two parties not in current government of Israel in government formed after Knesset election?
Manifold MarketsWhich parties will win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?
PolymarketWill former Israeli prime minister Naftali Bennet be a member of the 26th knesset?
Manifold MarketsVote of confidence passes in Knesset by December 31?
PolymarketVote of confidence in Knesset by December 31?
PolymarketRègles
If at least 5,300,000 valid and invalid ballots are cast in the October 27, 2026 Israeli Knesset election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Central Elections Committee for the Knesset
- The count is the total of valid and invalid ballots cast in Israel's Knesset election, as reported by the Central Elections Committee. Registered voters and ballots in other contests do not count. Subject to the contract's Fully-Conducted Elections and Accelerated Resolution Upon Designated Media Source Declarations provisions, the vote count refers to the officially certified results from the relevant election authority. Provisional, absentee, early, mail-in, or electronic ballots are included only if reflected in the official certification. The contract resolves based on officially certified results regardless of ongoing appeals. Outside those two contract provisions, preliminary counts, exit polls, projections, or uncertified results do not qualify. If the election is postponed but held within one year of the originally scheduled date, the contract remains valid; if postponed beyond one year or canceled before voting is fully conducted, all contracts resolve to No.
Règles de chaque résultat
- At least 4,800,000
- If at least 4,800,000 valid and invalid ballots are cast in the October 27, 2026 Israeli Knesset election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 4,900,000
- If at least 4,900,000 valid and invalid ballots are cast in the October 27, 2026 Israeli Knesset election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 5,000,000
- If at least 5,000,000 valid and invalid ballots are cast in the October 27, 2026 Israeli Knesset election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 5,100,000
- If at least 5,100,000 valid and invalid ballots are cast in the October 27, 2026 Israeli Knesset election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 5,200,000
- If at least 5,200,000 valid and invalid ballots are cast in the October 27, 2026 Israeli Knesset election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 5,250,000
- If at least 5,250,000 valid and invalid ballots are cast in the October 27, 2026 Israeli Knesset election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 5,300,000
- If at least 5,300,000 valid and invalid ballots are cast in the October 27, 2026 Israeli Knesset election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 5,400,000
- If at least 5,400,000 valid and invalid ballots are cast in the October 27, 2026 Israeli Knesset election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 5,500,000
- If at least 5,500,000 valid and invalid ballots are cast in the October 27, 2026 Israeli Knesset election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 5,600,000
- If at least 5,600,000 valid and invalid ballots are cast in the October 27, 2026 Israeli Knesset election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 5,700,000
- If at least 5,700,000 valid and invalid ballots are cast in the October 27, 2026 Israeli Knesset election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 5,800,000
- If at least 5,800,000 valid and invalid ballots are cast in the October 27, 2026 Israeli Knesset election, then the market resolves to Yes.