Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 58.6%
Prévisionnistes
5
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 heures
Obsolète8 juil. 26, 18:36 UTC31 déc. 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will 100 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill 200 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill 110 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day while Trump is President?
Manifold Markets0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by which date?
PolymarketHow many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 7?
PolymarketAvg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of September?
PolymarketRègles
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at chokepoint6 , both in the chart and through downloadable files.
Marchés ouverts
Middle EastPOLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-6.0pt74%
- September 18-6.0pt69%
- September 11-10.0pt61%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 363,6 k €
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- No+3.0pt79.2%
- Yes-3.0pt20.8%
- Volume total
- 9,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 245,6 k €
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+2.8pt57.6%
- Benjamin Netanyahu+1.0pt28.3%
- Naftali Bennett-1.0pt7.1%
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.3pt49.6%
- October 31-1.0pt29.1%
- September 30-1.0pt12%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- Israel closes its airspace by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Crude Oil all time high by which date?
- Al Nassr vs Abha
- Iran leadership change by which date?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will 120 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day before 2030? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 59% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will 120 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day before 2030? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will 120 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day before 2030? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2029.
- Comment Will 120 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day before 2030? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at chokepoint6 , both in the chart and through downloadable files.