Will 110 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day while Trump is President?
PolitiqueOne-OffUS PoliticsGéopolitiqueMiddle East2aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 61%
Prévisionnistes
9
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 heures
Obsolète9 juil. 26, 17:12 UTC20 janv. 29, 11:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will 200 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill 100 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill 120 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day before 2030?
Manifold MarketsHow many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 7?
PolymarketWill __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30?
Polymarket0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by which date?
PolymarketRègles
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at chokepoint6 , both in the chart and through downloadable files.
- Must occur after market creation, July 9th.
- (which aligns with the start of the Iran war, of course this happened on a semi daily basis pre war.)
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will 110 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day while Trump is President? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 61% au 10 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will 110 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day while Trump is President? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will 110 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day while Trump is President? doit être résolu le 20 janvier 2029.
- Comment Will 110 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day while Trump is President? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at chokepoint6 , both in the chart and through downloadable files.