Will 110 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day while Trump is President?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineGéopolitiqueMoyen-Orient2a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 54.9%
Prévisionnistes
12
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète9 juil. 26, 17:12 UTC20 janv. 29, 11:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will 100 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill 200 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill 120 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day before 2030?
Manifold MarketsUnified Ireland while Trump is president?
Manifold MarketsAvg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of October?
PolymarketAvg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of October?
PolymarketRègles
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at chokepoint6 , both in the chart and through downloadable files.
- Must occur after market creation, July 9th.
- (which aligns with the start of the Iran war, of course this happened on a semi daily basis pre war.)
