PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleJuly 31 4%-4.5%En tête parmi 3 options
Qualite du marche
73 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
17,7 k €
Liquidité
44,9 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
3.1% / 3.9%
Spread
25.8%
Spread largeVariation 7j
-11.5%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 21 minutes
14 juil. 26, 0:3231 juil. 26, 23:59
Tendances
0%
0%
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
July 314%
Tendance du volume
$20.1k14 juil.13j de données26 juil.
Marchés Associés
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
2,3 M €July 18: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Iran full airspace closure by which date?
194,2 k €August 31: 31%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
138,1 k €Oui: 56%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US-Iran nuclear deal?
19,4 k €Before Jan 1, 2027: 20%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Will the IDF fight against Abu Shabab (a Palestinian militia they supplied with weapons) by the end of 2026?
439,4 €Oui: 18.4%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhen will the Russian invasion of Ukraine end? ($1000M sub)
235,7 €2023: 0%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActifs dans ces sujets
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel takes a qualifying military action against Yemen by the specified date, 11:59 PM Arabia Standard Time (AST).
- Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Israel, that directly impacts Yemen.
- An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
- A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
- The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Munitions destroyed or intercepted before impact; Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g.