Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?
PolitiqueOne-OffMiddle EastUS Politics4mois
PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 1 sept. 2026, 20:40 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Non 94.1%
Qualité du marché
49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
4,5 €
Liquidité
8,7 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
4.0% / 7.0%
Écart
3.0 pt
Spread modéréCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
-1.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard5 nov. 25, 19:5831 déc. 26, 0:00
Tendances
Règles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
