U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?
One-OffPolitiqueGéopolitiqueLatin AmericaUS Politics3mois
PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 97%
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
21 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
2.9% / 3.0%
Écart
0.1 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
+0.1 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
31 janv. 26, 00:24 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by which date?
PolymarketUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
PolymarketMaría Corina Machado enters Venezuela by which date?
PolymarketWill María Corina Machado be granted asylum outside Venezuela in 2026?
FutuurMaría Corina Machado enters Venezuela by which date?
LimitlessWill Maria Machado get nothing in exchange for her Nobel prize? (in 2026)
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
- A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified.
- Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
