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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Politique
  3. U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

One-OffPolitiqueGéopolitiqueLatin America6mo
PolymarketPolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Oui
Oui 7%
Qualite du marche

64 / 100

Qualité moyenne
Volume 24h

790,9 €

Liquidité

23,8 k €

Liquidité élevée
Achat / Vente

6.0% / 8.0%

Spread

33.3%

Spread large
Variation 7j

-0.5%

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 1 minute

31 janv. 26, 0:2531 déc. 26, 0:00

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

Yes7%

Règles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
  • A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified.
  • Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Règles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
  • A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified.
  • Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.