U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?
One-OffPolitiqueGéopolitiqueLatin AmericaUS Politics5mo
PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleOui 6%
Qualite du marche
40 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidité
18,1 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
5.0% / 6.0%
Spread
20.0%
Spread largeVariation 7j
-0.5%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 minutes
31 janv. 26, 0:2431 déc. 26, 0:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Yes6%
Tendance du volume
$23 juil.20j de données22 juil.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
- A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified.
- Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.