FutuurVérifier la disponibilitéDonnées de résolution vérifiéesProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 86%
Non 86%Qualité du marché
33 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
1,2 k €
Faible liquiditéTraders
6
Commentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 minute
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?
PolymarketMaría Corina Machado arrested before 2027?
PolymarketMaría Corina Machado arrested in 2026?
FutuurWill María Corina Machado serve in a leadership role in a government in Venezuela by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhat will happen when María Corina Machado returns to Venezuela ? [add answers] (reupload)
Manifold MarketsWill Maria Corina Machado ever be President of Venezuela?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This event predicts whether María Corina Machado will be formally granted asylum by a country outside Venezuela at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive).
- For this market, asylum means formal recognition of refugee or asylum status under international or domestic asylum law.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official statements or documentation from the granting country or relevant international authorities confirming asylum status.
- If María Corina Machado is formally granted asylum by a country outside Venezuela during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Temporary refugee protections, humanitarian visas, or informal arrangements will not count.
