Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 82.7%
Prévisionnistes
53
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard3 janv. 26, 00:05 UTC31 déc. 00, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by which date?
PolymarketWill María Corina Machado visit Venezuela?
KalshiWill Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?
PolymarketWill María Corina Machado serve in a leadership role in a government in Venezuela by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsMaría Corina Machado arrested in 2026?
FutuurWill María Corina Machado be granted asylum outside Venezuela in 2026?
FutuurRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if María Corina Machado becomes President of Venezuela at any point in the future.
- The market will remain open until Machado becomes president of Venezuela or dies.
- The market will resolve to YES whenever there is consensus among reputable sources that Machado has become the facto and de jure president of Venezuela.
- Considerations (PLEASE READ)
- The market WILL NOT resolve to YES if Machado is recognized as de jure president but does not have de facto control over the Venezuelan government.