KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Before Jan 1, 2027 26%En tête parmi 3 options
Qualité du marché
62 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
250,4 €
Liquidité
13,6 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
1.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
30 juin 26, 00:35 UTC1 oct. 26, 14:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will María Corina Machado serve in a leadership role in a government in Venezuela by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsMaría Corina Machado enters Venezuela by which date?
LimitlessMaría Corina Machado enters Venezuela by which date?
PolymarketWill Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?
PolymarketWill María Corina Machado be granted asylum outside Venezuela in 2026?
FutuurMaría Corina Machado arrested in 2026?
FutuurRègles
If María Corina Machado has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Venezuela the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:The GuardianFox NewsSemaforThe InformationCNBCthe Associated PressThe Wall Street JournalCNNPoliticoMSNBCThe Washington PostReutersThe New York Times
- The following do NOT constitute a visit:
- Flying over the area without landing Layovers during which the person remains in an airplane Virtual or remote appearances Presence in international waters adjacent to the area Presence solely within embassy or consulate grounds Plans, announcements, or scheduling of future visits that do not occur during the applicable time period
- For the avoidance of doubt, a visit occurs only when the person exits an aircraft, vehicle, vessel, or train within the area, or otherwise physically enters the area not aboard one.
- Remaining aboard, including during flyovers, drive-throughs, and non-exit refueling stops, does not constitute a visit.
- Exiting within the area constitutes a visit regardless of duration or method of exit.
Marchés ouverts
Latin AmericaPOLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 125,1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 603,1 k €
POLYMARKETTrump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- December 31-20.5pt8%
- September 30-5.5pt5%
- Volume total
- 82,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 82,4 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
- Flávio Bolsonaro+0.5pt90%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-0.1pt8%
- Renan Santos-0.5pt1%
+15 résultats de plus
KALSHIBrazil Presidential election winner?
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt50.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+4.0pt42.1%
- Jair Bolsonaro+0.6pt2.8%
+11 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETParaná Governor Election Winner
- Sergio Moro-0.5pt82.8%
- Sandro Alex-1.0pt17.2%
- Requião Filho-0.3pt0%
+6 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro85.6%
- Delcy Rodríguez-1.0pt12.4%
- María Corina Machado+0.1pt1%
+13 résultats de plus
- Mercyhurst vs New Mexico
- Piauí Governor Election Winner
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round Winner
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
- Highest temperature in Mexico City on September 9?
- Tucuman vs River Plate
- Argentina Monthly Inflation - August
- Ceará Senate Election: 1st Place
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will María Corina Machado visit Venezuela? ?
- Kalshi cote Before Jan 1, 2027 à 26% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will María Corina Machado visit Venezuela? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will María Corina Machado visit Venezuela? doit être résolu le 1 octobre 2026.
- Comment Will María Corina Machado visit Venezuela? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If María Corina Machado has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Venezuela the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.