Will María Corina Machado serve in a leadership role in a government in Venezuela by the end of 2027?
PolitiqueOne-OffLatin America1aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 74.9%
Prévisionnistes
26
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète25 oct. 25, 21:13 UTC31 déc. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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FutuurRègles
Resolves YES if Machado serves in some leadership role in the Venezuelan government by the end of 2027.
- I would count basically any role that indicates she is serving in a leadership position, even something like "Advisor to the President."
- The "purpose" of this market is to roughly predict whether the government that succeeds Maduro would be another Madurist government or an opposition-led government.
- I will not bet in this market to remain objective.
- Also, context: https://thebsdetector.substack.com/p/the-nobel-committee-is-hungry-for
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will María Corina Machado serve in a leadership role in a government in Venezuela by the end of 2027? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 75% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will María Corina Machado serve in a leadership role in a government in Venezuela by the end of 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will María Corina Machado serve in a leadership role in a government in Venezuela by the end of 2027? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2027.
- Comment Will María Corina Machado serve in a leadership role in a government in Venezuela by the end of 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves YES if Machado serves in some leadership role in the Venezuelan government by the end of 2027.