LimitlessVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
August 31 50%En tête parmi 3 options
August 31 50%Qualité du marché
22 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
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Liquidité
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Liquidité inconnueDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
26 août 26, 12:36 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will María Corina Machado visit Venezuela?
KalshiWill María Corina Machado be granted asylum outside Venezuela in 2026?
FutuurWill Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?
PolymarketMaría Corina Machado arrested in 2026?
FutuurWill María Corina Machado serve in a leadership role in a government in Venezuela by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhat will happen when María Corina Machado returns to Venezuela ? [add answers] (reupload)
Manifold MarketsRègles
the named outcome · the named outcome · the named outcome.
If María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and the named outcome, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela.
- Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
- Également disponible sur Polymarket — María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...? · December 31 25%
- Également disponible sur Kalshi — Will María Corina Machado visit Venezuela? · Before Apr 1, 2027 47%