PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Allyson 67.4%+1.0ptEn tête parmi 9 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
62 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
353,4 €
Liquidité
55,6 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
5.0 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
+6.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 minutes
17 août 26, 09:45 UTC4 oct. 26, 06:00 UTC
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 2nd Place
PolymarketRio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 1st Place
PolymarketBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Norte
PolymarketElected governor for Rio Grande do Sul in 2026
FutuurUT Rio Grande Valley vs Nicholls St.
KalshiElected Senators for Rio Grande do Sul in 2026
FutuurRègles
The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
- Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
- If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Comparaison des sources de prévision
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3 k €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Winner ?
- Polymarket cote Allyson à 67% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Winner sera-t-il résolu ?
- Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Winner doit être résolu le 4 octobre 2026.
- Comment Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Winner est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
- Où Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Winner est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Kalshi.