Israeli invasion of Syria in December 2024 involves 20-year land grab?
GéopolitiqueOne-OffMoyen-Orient18a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 23 oct. 2026, 11:51 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelleNon 55.1%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Mis à jour il y a 14 heures
Obsolète28 août 25, 21:16 UTC9 déc. 44, 04:59 UTC
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From Wikipedia: On 8 December 2024, Israeli armored units, including main battle tanks, crossed the ceasefire line in the occupied Golan Heights fence and entered the buffer zone during early morning operations.
- Israeli Army Radio stated that the IDF and Northern Command initiated the operation in order to strengthen its border with Syria and prevent spillover or attacks against Israel.
- Will resolve YES if Wikipedia reports that the Israeli invasion of Syria is over by December 8th, 2044 and that Israel has withdrawn to the Purple Line.
- Otherwise resolves NO.
- Considerations: @Balasar asked a version of this question with a 1-year time window instead of a 20-year window.
- To better capture the spirit of what Balasar was existing (a "permanent land grab"), we use a 20-year timescale instead.
