KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
Above 15 · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
Above 15 97.5%En tête parmi 8 options
Above 15 97.5%Qualité du marché
≤74 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
29,1 k €
Intérêt ouvert
78,4 k $US
Intérêt ouvert élevéAchat / Vente
— / —
Above 15Écart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
16 oct. 26, 16:00 UTC27 oct. 26, 13:00 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Above 15
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/19 - 10/25)
KalshiWhich countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31?
PolymarketFree flow of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz returns to normal in 2026?
Manifold MarketsOn October 25th 2026, what will the 7-day average ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz be?
Manifold MarketsTraffic through the Panama Canal? (10/19 - 10/25)
KalshiTraffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/19 - 10/25)
KalshiRègles
If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 25 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:IMF PortWatch
- The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Above 15
- If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 15 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 20
- If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 20 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 25
- If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 25 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 27
- If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 27 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 30
- If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 30 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 35
- If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 35 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 40
- If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 40 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 50
- If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 50 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.