PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
September 30 3%+0.1ptEn tête parmi 5 options
Qualité du marché
69 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
2,7 k €
Liquidité
38,4 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
1.3 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
-4.8 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
14 juil. 26, 23:50 UTC30 sept. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on?
PolymarketSaudi Arabia military action against Yemen on?
PolymarketIsrael military action against Syria by which date?
PolymarketWill the United States take military action against any other NATO member in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump annex/take military action against Brazil by EOY 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill both the House and Senate pass a resolution to limit military action in Iran?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Houthis take a qualifying military action against Israel by the specified date, 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time (IDT, GMT+3).
- Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by the Houthis, that directly impacts Israeli ground territory.
- An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
- A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
- The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Munitions destroyed or intercepted before impact; Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.