2026 Midterms: Will Trump leave office OR will a family member be indicted OR will Dems win Senate before 1/20/29?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlectionCriminalité et justiceÉlections de mi-mandat américaines 20262aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 70.3%
Prévisionnistes
2
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète17 juil. 26, 13:08 UTC19 janv. 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
When will Trump leave office as President?
Manifold MarketsHow will Trump leave office?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump leave office early?
PredictItWill a Trump family member be the 2028 Republican presidential nominee?
KalshiIf Trump puts boots on the ground in Iran, will Dems win the Senate?
Manifold MarketsWill Hasan Piker be indicted for a federal crime before the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if any of the following three conditions occur at any point between July 17, 2026, and 12:00 PM EST on January 20, 2029:
- Donald Trump leaves office: Donald J. Trump ceases to hold the office of President of the United States.
- This includes resignation, removal via impeachment conviction, removal under Section 4 of the 25th Amendment, or death.
- Family member indicted: Melania Trump, Donald Trump Jr., Ivanka Trump, Eric Trump, Tiffany Trump, Barron Trump, or Jared Kushner is formally indicted on state or federal criminal charges (or if a criminal information is filed by prosecutors).
- Civil lawsuits or civil complaints do not qualify.
