Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
0.3 pts (24h)GéopolitiqueOne-OffMiddle East22j
PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
September 30 4%-0.4ptEn tête parmi 3 options
Qualité du marché
35 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
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Liquidité
24 k €
Liquidité élevéeCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
-0.7 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
21 juil. 26, 01:15 UTC1 oct. 26, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
0%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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MyriadRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hormuz Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- "No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hormuz Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
- Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
- An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
- If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.