Will the current wave of Iranian protests be suppressed by the end of 2026?
InflationOne-OffMoyen-Orient1moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 92.9%
Prévisionnistes
29
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète4 janv. 26, 22:09 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
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PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if the current wave of Iranian protests that began on December 28, 2025 is suppressed by December 31, 2026. "Suppressed" is defined as a sustained cessation of large-scale, organized demonstrations across multiple cities for a period of at least 30 consecutive days, with no significant resurgence of nationwide protest activity.
- Resolution will be determined by monitoring reports from credible international news sources including Reuters, AP News, BBC, Al Jazeera, and Iran International, as well as human rights organizations including Amnesty International and Human Rights Watch.
- The market resolves NO if protests continue at significant scale or resurge during the resolution period.
- Mass demonstrations erupted across multiple cities in Iran beginning December 28, 2025, amid a deepening economic crisis and widespread dissatisfaction with the government.
- While initially sparked by frustration over skyrocketing inflation, rising food prices, and the severe depreciation of the Iranian rial, the protests quickly evolved into a broader movement demanding an end to the Islamic Republic's rule.
