Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 94.4%
Prévisionnistes
30
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 32 minutes
9 janv. 26, 23:05 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the current wave of Iranian protests be suppressed by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the Iranian protests end?
Manifold MarketsUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
PolymarketUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by which date?
PolymarketKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
PolymarketRègles
This market resolves YES if, as of December 31, 2026, all of the following conditions are met:
- - The current wave of protests (beginning December 28, 2025) has substantially subsided
- - The Islamic Republic system of government remains intact
- - Cumulative protester deaths reached or exceeded 1,500 according to credible sources (Amnesty International, Iran Human Rights, HRANA, or Reuters)
- Resolves NO if:
- - The Islamic Republic fell or underwent fundamental constitutional change, OR
