Midterms: which issue matters most to voters?
InflationOne-OffTrade PolicyGéopolitiqueMiddle East1mois
KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Economy and cost of living 86.2%En tête parmi 7 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Economy and cost of living 86.2%Qualité du marché
76 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
41,8 k €
Liquidité
29,3 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
1.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 minutes
24 sept. 26, 21:00 UTC6 nov. 26, 16:59 UTC
Tendances
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiUS imposes new sanctions on China by September 30?
PolymarketRègles
If the issue voters rank most important in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll maps to the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The issue voters rank most important is the strike with the highest value, where a strike's value is the sum of the percentages of all voters for every answer choice that maps to it on the national U.S. House exit poll's most-important-issue question as displayed by the source, whatever its exact title.
- If more than one such question is displayed, the one asking which issue mattered most to the respondent's vote governs.
- An answer choice maps to a strike only if its wording contains, as a whole word or phrase and ignoring capitalization and singular or plural form, one of the terms listed for that strike: economy, economic, inflation, price, cost, cost of living, affordability, affordable, job, tax, tariff or trade (the named outcome); Iran, war, foreign policy, national security or terrorism (the named outcome); immigration, border or deportation (Immigration); democracy (Democracy); the named outcome or healthcare (the named outcome); abortion (Abortion); and crime or public safety (Crime).
- An answer choice containing terms listed for more than one strike maps only to the strike whose term appears first in it.
- Any other answer choice, including gun policy, maps to no strike and is compared on its own percentage.